AMERICAN SHARED HOSPITAL SERVICES (AMS) Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 revenue rose 17% year over year to $6.11M, driven by Direct Patient Services ($3.10M) and the new LINAC operations; however gross margin fell to $0.94M and the quarter posted a net loss of ($0.10) per diluted share .
- Bold miss vs estimates: Revenue $6.11M vs S&P Global consensus $8.63M*; EPS (-$0.10) vs $0.04* — driven by lower Gamma Knife volumes (contract expirations, upgrade downtime) and lower proton therapy volumes .
- Mix shift continues toward direct patient services; LINAC revenue reached $2.4M (from $0 in Q1 2024), reflecting diversification beyond leasing .
- Management cites April volume increases and expects a stronger H2 2025; catalysts include the Guadalajara Esprit Gamma Knife start-up “late 2025” and Rhode Island CON approvals for Bristol (RT center) and Johnston (proton center) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Direct Patient Services revenue surged 224% YoY to $3.10M, reflecting Rhode Island center integration and Puebla, Mexico launch .
- LINAC revenue reached $2.40M in Q1 2025 (from $0 in Q1 2024), exemplifying progress in the diversification strategy beyond equipment leasing .
- Management tone: “We have already begun to see an increase in treatment volumes in April and expect to see further recovery into the back half of this year.” — Ray Stachowiak .
What Went Wrong
- Gamma Knife revenue fell 18% to $2.10M; procedures declined 24% to 208 due to two contract expirations (Dec-2024, Feb-2025) and downtime for an Esprit upgrade .
- Proton beam therapy revenue declined 38% to $1.60M; fractions fell 35% to 831 amid lower volumes .
- Gross margin dropped to $0.94M (from $2.14M YoY), reflecting higher staffing, tech investments, lower GK volumes, and the lower-margin profile of direct patient services; operating loss widened to ($1.30M) .
Financial Results
Consolidated Performance vs Prior Periods
Estimates vs Actuals (S&P Global consensus)
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment and Sub-Segment Breakdown
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We have already begun to see an increase in treatment volumes in April and expect to see further recovery into the back half of this year.” — Ray Stachowiak .
- “This will be the only Esprit Gamma Knife in a country of 130 million people… an untapped growth engine for us.” — Gary Delanois (Guadalajara JV) .
- “The decline [in GK volumes] was primarily due to the expiration of 2 contracts… and downtime to upgrade a third customer to new Elekta Esprit.” — Scott Frech .
- “Our linear accelerators [are] on service and maintenance agreements… higher uptime for better patient service.” — Gary Delanois .
Q&A Highlights
- Reimbursement risk: Management views Medicaid changes as low risk given limited Medicaid exposure; primary payers are private insurers and Medicare .
- Fixed cost absorption: As the Rhode Island footprint expands, AMS expects greater influence over activities/relationships to grow patient volumes under a fixed-cost model .
- Closing tone: Leadership emphasized strategic confidence and near-term recovery momentum with multiple growth milestones (RI expansion, Guadalajara) .
Estimates Context
- Consensus coverage is limited (one estimate each for revenue and EPS). Q1 2025 EPS was a miss: ($0.10) actual vs $0.04 consensus; revenue missed: $6.11M actual vs $8.63M* consensus .
- The miss reflects lower GK and proton volumes (contract expirations, upgrade downtime) and the lower-margin direct care mix — factors likely to prompt near-term estimate revisions until volume recovery is evident .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix shift is real: Direct Patient Services is scaling (LINAC $2.4M; retail +224% YoY), but carries lower gross margin, requiring volume leverage to expand profitability .
- Near-term headwinds in GK/proton volumes caused a notable consensus miss; watch monthly volumes (April cited up) and H2 trajectory for confirmation .
- Structural catalysts: Guadalajara Esprit start-up (late 2025), RI Bristol RT center, and Johnston proton center should add capacity and strategic presence .
- Operational execution matters: Staffing optimization (Brown University agreement), service contracts for LINAC uptime, and physician engagement are key to driving volumes .
- Balance sheet supports expansion: $11.49M cash and $24.65M equity provide flexibility for tuck-ins and growth investments .
- Estimate sensitivity: With limited coverage and a new mix, consensus may lag execution; strong evidence of volume recovery could re-rate sentiment.
- Focus on volume ramps and contract pipeline; contract expirations and upgrade downtimes were transitory drivers of Q1 weakness .
Additional primary sources reviewed for context:
- Q1 2025 press release and 8-K furnishing the press release -.
- Prior quarters’ materials: Q4 2024 press release and call - -; Q3 2024 press release -.